Brighton vs Aston Villa: Preview, Prediction & Betting Tips

Aston Villa make the trip to the coast to take on Brighton this Sunday in the Premier League. Villa look to increase their lead over Tottenham and their hold on Champions League football whereas Brighton look to reenter the top ten.

• Aston Villa to win @ 2.50 on SBK
• Over 3 goals @ 4/6 on CopyBet
• Both teams to score @ 21/50 on BetUK

These odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Date: 05/05/2024

Kick off time: 14:00

Location: The Amex

Aston Villa have a lead over Tottenham in the battle for the final spot in the Champions League, though Tottenham do have a game in hand. Brighton, however, will be looking to string together some wins at this point in the season to secure a top half finish.

Brighton currently sit 12th in the Premier League after 34 games. The Seagulls have 11 wins, 11 draws and 12 losses, leaving them on 44 points, four points from the top half of the table.

The Seagulls have been average in front of goal this season, scoring 52 goals in 34 games which is an average of 1.58 goals a game. Brighton have struggled defensively recently, conceding 57 goals and keeping just five clean sheets.

Aston Villa, on the other hand, currently sit fourth in the Premier League. In 35 games, Villa have 20 wins, seven draws and eight losses which leaves them on 67 points, seven points ahead of fifth place Tottenham.

Villa have been impressive in front of goal this season. In 35 games, Villa have scored 71 goals, an average of 2.09 goals a game. Asto Villa have been just as consistent at the other end of the pitch, conceding 52 goals and keeping eight clean sheets.

Brighton and Aston Villa have met 32 times in their histories, with the first meeting coming back in 1910. Villa have the better record in the fixture with 18 wins in comparison to Brighton’s five wins. In fact, a draw is more common in this fixture than a Brighton win, happening on nine occasions.

The last five games in this fixture have seen five wins for Aston Villa, with Brighton’s last win coming back in 2020. Three of the last five games in this fixture have seen both teams on the scoresheet, with at least three goals.

Brighton Team News

Roberto De Zerbi has Solly March, Evan Ferguson, Jack Hinshelwood, Pervis Estupinan and Kaoru Mitoma out for the rest of the season. However, Julio Enciso, Billy Gimour, James Milner and Tariq Lamptey can return this weekend.

Aston Villa Team News

Unai Emery has Boubacar Kamara, Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Nicolo Zaniolo and Jacob Ramsey out for the rest of the season. However, Douglas Luiz and Alex Moreno can return this weekend.

In their last five games in all competitions, Brighton have two draws and three losses.

The trip to West London saw Brighton register 24 shots with six of them on target in 67% of the possession. Brentford had just five shots with two on target but neither side could find the back of the net in the 0 - 0 draw.

The next time out saw Brighton host top of the league Arsenal. Despite having more of the possession, a penalty from Bukayo Saka and goals from Kai Havertz and Leandro Trossard gave Arsenal the 3 - 0 win.

Brighton were behind again against relegation candidates Burnley. After a goalless first half, Josh Brownhill opened the scoring for The Clarets with 15 minutes to go. However, an own goal from Burnley goalkeeper Arijanet Muric rescued a 1 - 1 draw for Brighton.

The Seagulls had just 35% of the possession against Manchester City and three shots on target. A goal from Kevin De Bruyne and a brace from Phil Foden saw City 3 - 0 up at the break and a goal from Julian Alvarez secured the 4 - 0 win in the second half.

The last time out for Brighton was against Bournemouth. Marcos Senesi, Enes Unal and Justin Kluivert all scored to give Bournemouth the 3 - 0 win, with Brighton only having one shot on target even with 70% of the possession.

In their last five games in all competitions, Aston Villa have four wins and a draw.

The first leg of the Europa Conference League Quarter Finals saw Aston Villa host Lille. Ollie Watkins opened the scoring in the 13th minute and John McGinn doubled the lead early in the second half. Bafode Diakite did get Lille on the scoresheet late on but Villa held on for the 2 - 1 win.

Back in the Premier League, Villa picked up a big win over Arsenal. In the last ten minutes both Leon Bailey and Watkins found the back of the net to give Aston Villa the 2 - 0 win over The Gunners.

The second leg of the Europa Conference League Quarter Finals saw Villa in France. Yusuf Yazici and Benjamin Andre gave Lille the 2 - 0 lead entering the last 20 minutes but a late goal from Matty Cash sent the tie to extra time and then penalties. Misses from Andre and Nabil Bentaleb gave Villa the 4 - 3 shootout win.

Villa went behind again, with Dominic Solanke opening the scoring for Bournemouth with his penalty. However, goals from Morgan Rogers, Moussa Diaby and Bailey gave Villa the 3 - 1 win.

An own goal from Marc Cucurella gave Villa the lead in the fourth minute and Rogers doubled the lead before halftime. Noni Madueke and Conor Gallagher pulled Chelsea level with ten minutes to go. Axel Disasi had his last minute winner disallowed as the game finished 2 - 2.
Aston Villa also host Olympiacos in the first leg of the Europa Conference League Semi Final on Thursday.

Aston Villa have been in good form of late, making them the likely winners this weekend with Watkins on the scoresheet. However, Brighton are also likely to be amongst the goals. Brighton 2 - 3 Aston Villa.

Brighton vs Aston Villa won’t be shown on TV in the U.K. but the game can be followed via radio on BBC Five Live or TalkSport.

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